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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Spain
Real Valladolid II vs Calvo Sotelo prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Valladolid II host Calvo Sotelo in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals — more than 0.5 goals in the first half. It was published at odds of 1.34, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Valladolid II 3–0 Calvo Sotelo.
Going into the match, Real Valladolid II had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. Calvo Sotelo had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 11 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Real Valladolid II's last 10 and 2 of Calvo Sotelo's last 9; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Valladolid II averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Calvo Sotelo averaged 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from Real Valladolid II and 0.50 from Calvo Sotelo. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 8%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Valladolid II (green) and Calvo Sotelo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid II | LWLWD | 2.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
| Calvo Sotelo | WLDLW | 1.22 | 0.78 | 22% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Real Valladolid II Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Real Valladolid II HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.