Home › League stats › La Liga › Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Deportivo La Coruna in the La Liga (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo La Coruna.
Going into the match, Real Sociedad had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Deportivo La Coruna had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Real Sociedad's last 10 and 8 of Deportivo La Coruna's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Sociedad averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Deportivo La Coruna averaged 1.54 scored and 0.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Real Sociedad and 1.21 from Deportivo La Coruna. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 24%, against 61%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Sociedad (green) and Deportivo La Coruna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | WLLWD | 1.20 | 2.00 | 70% | 80% |
| Deportivo La Coruna | LDDLD | 1.30 | 1.40 | 80% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Real Sociedad Win | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.