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Segunda División · Spain
Real Sociedad II vs Granada CF prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Sociedad II host Granada CF in the Segunda División (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Sociedad II 2–3 Granada CF.
Going into the match, Real Sociedad II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Granada CF had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Real Sociedad II's last 10 and 4 of Granada CF's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Sociedad II averaged 0.82 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Granada CF averaged 1.10 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Real Sociedad II and 1.85 from Granada CF. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 48%, against 37%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Sociedad II (green) and Granada CF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | WLLLW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
| Granada CF | LLDLW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.