Home › League stats › Primera B › Real Santander vs Leones FC
Primera B · Colombia
Real Santander vs Leones FC prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Santander host Leones FC in the Primera B (Colombia) on 19 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Leones FC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Santander 1–0 Leones FC.
Going into the match, Real Santander had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Leones FC had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Real Santander's last 10 and 6 of Leones FC's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Santander averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Leones FC averaged 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Real Santander and 0.98 from Leones FC. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 28%, against 47%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Santander (green) and Leones FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Santander | DWLDD | 1.00 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
| Leones FC | WDDLL | 0.80 | 1.80 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · Leones FC 1–0 Real Santander
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.22 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Real Santander HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| 1-1 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.