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Segunda División · Chile
Real San Joaquín vs Lota Schwager prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real San Joaquín host Lota Schwager in the Segunda División (Chile) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Lota Schwager to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real San Joaquín 0–2 Lota Schwager.
Going into the match, Real San Joaquín had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 19. Lota Schwager had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Real San Joaquín's last 10 and 6 of Lota Schwager's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real San Joaquín averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Lota Schwager averaged 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from Real San Joaquín and 1.78 from Lota Schwager. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 52%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real San Joaquín (green) and Lota Schwager (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real San Joaquín | LDLDD | 1.40 | 1.90 | 70% | 50% |
| Lota Schwager | LDDLW | 1.20 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Lota Schwager Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.