Real Refineros vs Halcones Negros prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Real Refineros host Halcones Negros in the Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico) on 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Real Refineros 2–3 Halcones Negros.

Going into the match, Real Refineros had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Halcones Negros had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6, with 17 scored and 4 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Real Refineros's last 6 and 2 of Halcones Negros's last 6; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Refineros averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Halcones Negros averaged 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded across 3.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Real Refineros and 2.52 from Halcones Negros. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 55%. For the published pick itself the model gives 93%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Real Refineros (green) and Halcones Negros (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 6 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

• Real Refineros form and statistics
• Halcones Negros form and statistics
• Liga Premier Serie A statistics