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Copa de la División Profesional · Bolivia
Real Potosí vs Aurora prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Potosí host Aurora in the Copa de la División Profesional (Bolivia) on 3 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Potosí 1–1 Aurora.
Going into the match, Real Potosí had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Aurora had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Real Potosí's last 10 and 5 of Aurora's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Potosí averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Aurora averaged 1.15 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Real Potosí and 0.73 from Aurora. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 13%, against 47%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Potosí (green) and Aurora (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Potosí | WLWDW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
| Aurora | DWWLW | 1.70 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Sep 2026 · Aurora 1–0 Real Potosí
- 23 Aug 2026 · Aurora 0–0 Real Potosí
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Real Potosí Win | 47% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.