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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Real Pilar vs Villa Dalmine prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Pilar host Villa Dalmine in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Pilar 2–0 Villa Dalmine.
Going into the match, Real Pilar had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Villa Dalmine had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Real Pilar's last 10 and 2 of Villa Dalmine's last 10; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Pilar averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Villa Dalmine averaged 0.86 scored and 0.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Real Pilar and 0.63 from Villa Dalmine. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 23%, against 38%, 32% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Pilar (green) and Villa Dalmine (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Pilar | LWWLD | 0.90 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
| Villa Dalmine | DWLLD | 0.80 | 0.70 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Villa Dalmine 1–1 Real Pilar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.