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Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina
Real Pilar vs Ituzaingó prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Pilar host Ituzaingó in the Primera B Metropolitana (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Real Pilar Win — Real Pilar to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Pilar 0–0 Ituzaingó.
Going into the match, Real Pilar had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Ituzaingó had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Real Pilar's last 10 and 6 of Ituzaingó's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Pilar averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Ituzaingó averaged 0.79 scored and 2.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Real Pilar and 0.65 from Ituzaingó. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 13%, against 68%, 21% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Pilar | LWLWW | 0.90 | 0.80 | 20% | 20% |
| Ituzaingó | DLLLD | 0.90 | 1.80 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Ituzaingó 2–0 Real Pilar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Real Pilar Win | 68% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Real Pilar HT & FT | 48% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.