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Primera División · Bolivia
Real Oruro vs Aurora prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Oruro host Aurora in the Primera División (Bolivia) on 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Oruro 1–0 Aurora.
Going into the match, Real Oruro had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Aurora had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Real Oruro's last 10 and 5 of Aurora's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Oruro averaged 1.71 goals scored and 2.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Aurora averaged 1.14 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Real Oruro and 1.57 from Aurora. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 37%, against 31%, 25% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Oruro (green) and Aurora (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Oruro | WWLDL | 1.30 | 1.60 | 30% | 50% |
| Aurora | DWDDW | 1.90 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 May 2026 · Aurora 1–1 Real Oruro
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 44% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División matches that day
- Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 17 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Primera División
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 1–0