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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Real Murcia II vs Yeclano prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Murcia II host Yeclano in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Yeclano to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Murcia II 1–1 Yeclano.
Going into the match, Real Murcia II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Yeclano had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Real Murcia II's last 10 and 6 of Yeclano's last 9; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Murcia II averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Yeclano averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Real Murcia II and 1.13 from Yeclano. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 37%, against 26%, 28% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Murcia II (green) and Yeclano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia II | LWLLL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Yeclano | DWLDW | 1.00 | 0.89 | 67% | 11% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Yeclano Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Yeclano HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.