Home › League stats › Primera División Femenina › Real Madrid W vs Espanyol W
Primera División Femenina · Spain
Real Madrid W vs Espanyol W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Madrid W host Espanyol W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Madrid W 3–1 Espanyol W.
Going into the match, Real Madrid W had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Espanyol W had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Real Madrid W's last 10 and 6 of Espanyol W's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Madrid W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Espanyol W averaged 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.24 goals from Real Madrid W and 0.95 from Espanyol W. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 14%, against 77%, 15% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid W | LDWDW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Espanyol W | WDWDL | 1.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid W Win | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Real Madrid W 1st Half Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| Real Madrid W HT & FT | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.