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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Real Madrid II vs FC Cartagena prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Madrid II host FC Cartagena in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Real Madrid II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. FC Cartagena had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Real Madrid II's last 10 and 5 of FC Cartagena's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Madrid II averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home FC Cartagena averaged 1.00 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Real Madrid II and 1.25 from FC Cartagena. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 36%, against 47%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid II | LWDWL | 1.10 | 1.20 | 50% | 30% |
| FC Cartagena | LWDWW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Real Madrid II form and statistics
- FC Cartagena form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2 statistics
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Zaragoza vs Villarreal II · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.22 - Sant Andreu vs Teruel · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Sant Andreu Draw No Bet @ 1.22