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Primera B · Colombia
Real Cundinamarca vs Real Santander prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Cundinamarca host Real Santander in the Primera B (Colombia) on 9 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Real Cundinamarca Win — Real Cundinamarca to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Cundinamarca 0–1 Real Santander.
Going into the match, Real Cundinamarca had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Real Santander had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Real Cundinamarca's last 10 and 6 of Real Santander's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Cundinamarca averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Real Santander averaged 0.44 scored and 2.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Real Cundinamarca and 0.74 from Real Santander. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 15%, against 61%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Cundinamarca (green) and Real Santander (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Cundinamarca | WWWWL | 1.90 | 1.00 | 70% | 60% |
| Real Santander | LDDLD | 1.20 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Real Cundinamarca Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Real Cundinamarca HT & FT | 42% | 2.25 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.