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La Liga · Spain
Real Betis vs Osasuna prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Betis host Osasuna in the La Liga (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Betis 5–2 Osasuna.
Going into the match, Real Betis had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Osasuna had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Real Betis's last 10 and 5 of Osasuna's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Betis averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Osasuna averaged 1.22 scored and 2.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.40 goals from Real Betis and 0.75 from Osasuna. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 9%, against 62%, 23% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Betis (green) and Osasuna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | DWWWW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| Osasuna | DLLLW | 0.90 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Osasuna 1–1 Real Betis
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.44 |
| Real Betis Win | 63% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.