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Real Betis vs FC Porto prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Betis host FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto.
Going into the match, Real Betis had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. FC Porto had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Real Betis's last 10 and 5 of FC Porto's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Betis averaged 2.08 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Porto averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Real Betis and 1.18 from FC Porto. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 27%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Betis (green) and FC Porto (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | WDWWW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 50% | 40% |
| FC Porto | WWWWL | 2.30 | 0.70 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.