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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Spain
Real Betis II vs Xerez prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Betis II host Xerez in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Real Betis II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Real Betis II 1–1 Xerez.
Going into the match, Real Betis II had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 6. Xerez had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Real Betis II's last 10 and 3 of Xerez's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Betis II averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Xerez averaged 0.17 scored and 0.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Real Betis II and 0.41 from Xerez. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 13%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis II | WWWDW | 1.70 | 0.60 | 30% | 50% |
| Xerez | WLDLD | 0.50 | 0.50 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Real Betis II Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Real Betis II HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.