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Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico
Real Apodaca vs Vaqueros Reynosa prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Real Apodaca host Vaqueros Reynosa in the Liga Premier Serie A (Mexico) on 4 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Vaqueros Reynosa to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Real Apodaca 1–2 Vaqueros Reynosa.
Going into the match, Real Apodaca had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 17. Vaqueros Reynosa had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 9 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Real Apodaca's last 10 and 4 of Vaqueros Reynosa's last 5; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Real Apodaca averaged 2.25 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Vaqueros Reynosa averaged 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Real Apodaca and 1.75 from Vaqueros Reynosa. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 43%. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Real Apodaca (green) and Vaqueros Reynosa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Apodaca | LWLLD | 1.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
| Vaqueros Reynosa | WLDWW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.