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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig W vs Bayern Munich W prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RB Leipzig W host Bayern Munich W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: RB Leipzig W 1–5 Bayern Munich W.
Going into the match, RB Leipzig W had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Bayern Munich W had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 31 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of RB Leipzig W's last 10 and 6 of Bayern Munich W's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RB Leipzig W averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Bayern Munich W averaged 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from RB Leipzig W and 2.36 from Bayern Munich W. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 70%, against 8%, 16% and 76% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between RB Leipzig W (green) and Bayern Munich W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig W | WWWLW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 40% | 50% |
| Bayern Munich W | WWWWD | 3.10 | 0.90 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Bayern Munich W 1st Half Win | 62% | 1.44 |
| Bayern Munich W HT & FT | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.