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UEFA Champions League · International
RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RB Leipzig host PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 13 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is RB Leipzig Win — RB Leipzig to win. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: RB Leipzig 1–0 PSV Eindhoven.
Going into the match, RB Leipzig had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 14. PSV Eindhoven had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 27 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of RB Leipzig's last 10 and 8 of PSV Eindhoven's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RB Leipzig averaged 3.13 goals scored and 0.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home PSV Eindhoven averaged 3.00 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.06 goals from RB Leipzig and 1.63 from PSV Eindhoven. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 55%, 22% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between RB Leipzig (green) and PSV Eindhoven (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | WLWLL | 2.70 | 1.40 | 30% | 80% |
| PSV Eindhoven | WLWDW | 2.70 | 1.50 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| RB Leipzig Win | 55% | 1.70 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| RB Leipzig HT & FT | 37% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.