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U19 Bundesliga · Germany

RB Leipzig U19 vs Nürnberg U19 prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.24Market probability 72%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

RB Leipzig U19 host Nürnberg U19 in the U19 Bundesliga (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — RB Leipzig U19 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.24, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: RB Leipzig U19 3–2 Nürnberg U19.

Going into the match, RB Leipzig U19 had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 14. Nürnberg U19 had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 19 scored and 18 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of RB Leipzig U19's last 10 and 6 of Nürnberg U19's last 9; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RB Leipzig U19 averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Nürnberg U19 averaged 2.67 scored and 0.00 conceded across 3.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.70 goals from RB Leipzig U19 and 2.07 from Nürnberg U19. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 29%, against 53%, 20% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between RB Leipzig U19 (green) and Nürnberg U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%
Attack60% – 40%
Defence62% – 38%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals33% – 67%
Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
RB Leipzig U19WWDWW2.601.4080%70%
Nürnberg U19WWLWL2.112.0067%78%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X72%1.24
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals61%1.49
BTTS 1st Half - No59%1.54
RB Leipzig U19 Win53%1.71
2-110%9.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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