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Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RB Bragantino host Mirassol in the Serie A (Brazil) on 7 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: RB Bragantino 1–1 Mirassol.
Going into the match, RB Bragantino had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Mirassol had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of RB Bragantino's last 10 and 6 of Mirassol's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RB Bragantino averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Mirassol averaged 0.94 scored and 1.25 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from RB Bragantino and 0.97 from Mirassol. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between RB Bragantino (green) and Mirassol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | LLDLL | 0.90 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
| Mirassol | WWDWL | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 May 2026 · Mirassol 2–1 RB Bragantino
- 23 Apr 2026 · RB Bragantino 1–1 Mirassol
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| RB Bragantino Win | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.