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Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
RB Bragantino host Cruzeiro in the Serie A (Brazil) on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: RB Bragantino 4–2 Cruzeiro.
Going into the match, RB Bragantino had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Cruzeiro had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of RB Bragantino's last 10 and 9 of Cruzeiro's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home RB Bragantino averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Cruzeiro averaged 1.24 scored and 1.18 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from RB Bragantino and 1.24 from Cruzeiro. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 33%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between RB Bragantino (green) and Cruzeiro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Bragantino | DLLDL | 1.00 | 1.40 | 70% | 40% |
| Cruzeiro | WWLWL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · Cruzeiro 2–1 RB Bragantino
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.