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NM Cupen · Norway
Raufoss vs Start prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Raufoss host Start in the NM Cupen (Norway) on 6 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Start Win — Start to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Raufoss 1–5 Start.
Going into the match, Raufoss had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 29. Start had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Raufoss's last 10 and 5 of Start's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Raufoss averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Start averaged 1.17 scored and 2.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Raufoss and 3.95 from Start. From that it rates a home win at 5%, a draw at 8% and an away win at 87%, against 18%, 21% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Raufoss (green) and Start (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Start Win | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.