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1. Division · Norway

Raufoss vs Moss prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.48Market probability 64%Final score 1–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Raufoss host Moss in the 1. Division (Norway) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Raufoss 1–2 Moss.

Going into the match, Raufoss had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 32. Moss had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Raufoss's last 10 and 8 of Moss's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Raufoss averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Moss averaged 1.69 scored and 2.08 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Raufoss and 1.60 from Moss. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 38%, against 24%, 23% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Raufoss (green) and Moss (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%
Attack36% – 64%
Defence38% – 62%
Head-to-head85% – 15%
Goals59% – 41%
Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
RaufossLLWWL1.503.2060%90%
MossLDWLW1.701.9080%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1277%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No72%1.30
BTTS Yes64%1.44
Over 2.5 Goals64%1.48
Under 3.5 Goals56%1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67
Moss Win52%1.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match