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Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai FC prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ratchaburi host Sukhothai FC in the Thai League 1 (Thailand) on 9 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ratchaburi 6–0 Sukhothai FC.
Going into the match, Ratchaburi had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 14. Sukhothai FC had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7, with 8 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ratchaburi's last 10 and 4 of Sukhothai FC's last 7; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ratchaburi averaged 3.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Sukhothai FC averaged 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.83 goals from Ratchaburi and 1.31 from Sukhothai FC. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 15%, against 66%, 20% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ratchaburi (green) and Sukhothai FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratchaburi | DDLWL | 2.10 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Sukhothai FC | WLLWL | 1.14 | 1.29 | 57% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · Sukhothai FC 1–2 Ratchaburi
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Ratchaburi Win | 65% | 1.36 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Ratchaburi HT & FT | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.