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Friendlies Clubs · International
Rapid vs Genoa prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rapid host Genoa in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Rapid to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rapid 2–0 Genoa.
Going into the match, Rapid had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Genoa had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Rapid's last 10 and 5 of Genoa's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rapid averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Genoa averaged 0.63 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Rapid and 0.76 from Genoa. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 12%, against 30%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 88%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rapid (green) and Genoa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.66 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.