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Premiership · Scotland
Rangers vs Kilmarnock prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rangers host Kilmarnock in the Premiership (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock.
Going into the match, Rangers had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 4. Kilmarnock had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Rangers's last 10 and 5 of Kilmarnock's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rangers averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kilmarnock averaged 1.90 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Rangers and 1.02 from Kilmarnock. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 22%, against 82%, 12% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 47%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rangers (green) and Kilmarnock (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | WWWWW | 1.60 | 0.40 | 30% | 30% |
| Kilmarnock | DWDDL | 1.00 | 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers HT & FT | 64% | 1.50 |
| Rangers 1st Half Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 2-0 | 14% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.