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Primera Division · Nicaragua
Rancho Santana vs UNAN Managua prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rancho Santana host UNAN Managua in the Primera Division (Nicaragua) on 12 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rancho Santana 1–1 UNAN Managua.
Going into the match, Rancho Santana had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 20. UNAN Managua had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Rancho Santana's last 10 and 4 of UNAN Managua's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rancho Santana averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home UNAN Managua averaged 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Rancho Santana and 1.45 from UNAN Managua. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 56%, against 31%, 27% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 37%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rancho Santana (green) and UNAN Managua (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rancho Santana | LDDWL | 0.80 | 2.00 | 70% | 50% |
| UNAN Managua | WWLLW | 1.20 | 0.70 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jul 2026 · UNAN Managua 2–0 Rancho Santana
- 16 Apr 2026 · UNAN Managua 0–2 Rancho Santana
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.08 |
| UNAN Managua Win | 42% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.