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Primera Division · Nicaragua
Rancho Santana vs Managua prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rancho Santana host Managua in the Primera Division (Nicaragua) on 3 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Managua Win — Managua to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rancho Santana 1–6 Managua.
Going into the match, Rancho Santana had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Managua had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rancho Santana's last 10 and 6 of Managua's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rancho Santana averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Managua averaged 2.57 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Rancho Santana and 3.08 from Managua. From that it rates a home win at 6%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 82%, against 13%, 19% and 68% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rancho Santana (green) and Managua (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rancho Santana | DDWLL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 60% | 40% |
| Managua | DWDWW | 2.90 | 0.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Jul 2026 · Managua 2–1 Rancho Santana
- 12 Jul 2026 · Managua 2–0 Rancho Santana
- 6 Jul 2026 · Rancho Santana 2–3 Managua
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Managua Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Managua 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Managua HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.