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NPFL · Nigeria
Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ranchers Bees host Niger Tornadoes in the NPFL (Nigeria) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ranchers Bees Win — Ranchers Bees to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ranchers Bees 0–0 Niger Tornadoes.
Going into the match, Ranchers Bees had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Niger Tornadoes had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ranchers Bees's last 7 and 4 of Niger Tornadoes's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ranchers Bees averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Niger Tornadoes averaged 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Ranchers Bees and 0.65 from Niger Tornadoes. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 17%, against 56%, 28% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranchers Bees | LDLWL | 1.29 | 1.43 | 57% | 71% |
| Niger Tornadoes | WLDLD | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| Ranchers Bees Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Ranchers Bees HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.