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Liga III - Serie 3 · Romania

Râmnicu Sărat vs Plopeni prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.57Market probability 60%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Râmnicu Sărat host Plopeni in the Liga III - Serie 3 (Romania) on 9 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Râmnicu Sărat had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Plopeni had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Râmnicu Sărat's last 10 and 4 of Plopeni's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Râmnicu Sărat averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Plopeni averaged 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Râmnicu Sărat and 1.35 from Plopeni. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 37%, against 24%, 23% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Râmnicu Sărat (green) and Plopeni (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence32% – 68%
Head-to-head67% – 33%
Goals56% – 44%
Overall strength46% – 54%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Râmnicu SăratLLWDD1.202.0050%70%
PlopeniWLLWL1.301.5040%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance X275%1.22
BTTS Yes61%1.55
Over 2.5 Goals60%1.57
Plopeni Win53%1.70
Plopeni HT & FT35%2.62
1-210%9.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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