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Friendlies Clubs · International
Raków Częstochowa vs Polonia Bytom prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Raków Częstochowa host Polonia Bytom in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Raków Częstochowa 4–1 Polonia Bytom.
Going into the match, Raków Częstochowa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Polonia Bytom had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Raków Częstochowa's last 10 and 8 of Polonia Bytom's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Raków Częstochowa averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.47 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Polonia Bytom averaged 1.83 scored and 2.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.97 goals from Raków Częstochowa and 1.72 from Polonia Bytom. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 20%, against 62%, 20% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Raków Częstochowa (green) and Polonia Bytom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | LLWLL | 1.50 | 2.10 | 80% | 80% |
| Polonia Bytom | DWDDD | 1.60 | 1.80 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Raków Częstochowa Win | 62% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Raków Częstochowa HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.