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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Raków Częstochowa host GKS Katowice in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Raków Częstochowa 1–4 GKS Katowice.
Going into the match, Raków Częstochowa had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 22. GKS Katowice had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Raków Częstochowa's last 10 and 6 of GKS Katowice's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Raków Częstochowa averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 16 matches; away from home GKS Katowice averaged 1.17 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Raków Częstochowa and 1.69 from GKS Katowice. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 39%, against 43%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Raków Częstochowa (green) and GKS Katowice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | WLLWL | 1.80 | 2.20 | 90% | 90% |
| GKS Katowice | DWLLW | 1.80 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Jul 2026 · GKS Katowice 1–1 Raków Częstochowa
- 9 Apr 2026 · Raków Częstochowa 3–3 GKS Katowice
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.