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Division 2 - Södra Svealand · Sweden
Rågsved vs Smedby prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rågsved host Smedby in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Sweden) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Rågsved 4–3 Smedby.
Going into the match, Rågsved had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Smedby had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Rågsved's last 10 and 6 of Smedby's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rågsved averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Smedby averaged 1.18 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.33 goals from Rågsved and 1.27 from Smedby. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 19%, against 48%, 24% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rågsved (green) and Smedby (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Smedby 0–2 Rågsved
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Rågsved Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Rågsved HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.