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Radomiak Radom vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki prediction and preview

2 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.22Market probability 75%Final score 7–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Radomiak Radom host Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Radomiak Radom to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Radomiak Radom 7–2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki.

Going into the match, Radomiak Radom had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 20. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Radomiak Radom's last 10 and 5 of Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Radomiak Radom averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki averaged 1.42 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Radomiak Radom and 1.73 from Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 36%, against 52%, 22% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Radomiak Radom (green) and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%
Attack58% – 42%
Defence41% – 59%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength51% – 48%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Radomiak RadomLLDWW0.702.0050%50%
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiWLWLD1.601.1050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X75%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No74%1.24
BTTS Yes62%1.47
Over 2.5 Goals60%1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.58
Over 9.5 Corners56%1.67
Radomiak Radom Win52%1.73
Under 2.5 Goals40%2.35

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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