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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Radomiak Radom host Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Radomiak Radom 2–3 Motor Lublin.
Going into the match, Radomiak Radom had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Motor Lublin had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Radomiak Radom's last 10 and 6 of Motor Lublin's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Radomiak Radom averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Motor Lublin averaged 1.38 scored and 2.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Radomiak Radom and 2.00 from Motor Lublin. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 50%, against 38%, 27% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Radomiak Radom (green) and Motor Lublin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | WLLDW | 1.30 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Motor Lublin | DLLWL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.