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Super Liga · Serbia
Radnik Surdulica vs Radnicki NIS prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Radnik Surdulica host Radnicki NIS in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Radnik Surdulica 3–0 Radnicki NIS.
Going into the match, Radnik Surdulica had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Radnicki NIS had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Radnik Surdulica's last 10 and 4 of Radnicki NIS's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Radnik Surdulica averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Radnicki NIS averaged 0.73 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Radnik Surdulica and 0.79 from Radnicki NIS. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 16%, against 44%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Radnik Surdulica (green) and Radnicki NIS (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Surdulica | LDDDW | 1.30 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Radnicki NIS | LLWLD | 0.70 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.