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Premijer Liga · Bosnia
Radnik Bijeljina vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Radnik Bijeljina host Zeljeznicar Sarajevo in the Premijer Liga (Bosnia) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Radnik Bijeljina to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Radnik Bijeljina 3–1 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo.
Going into the match, Radnik Bijeljina had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 24. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Radnik Bijeljina's last 10 and 6 of Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Radnik Bijeljina averaged 0.55 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Zeljeznicar Sarajevo averaged 0.56 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Radnik Bijeljina and 1.20 from Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 30%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Radnik Bijeljina (green) and Zeljeznicar Sarajevo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Bijeljina | LLDLL | 1.50 | 2.40 | 80% | 70% |
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | DDWWL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Radnik Bijeljina 0–3 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Radnik Bijeljina Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.