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Super Liga · Serbia
Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Radnicki 1923 host FK Crvena Zvezda in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Radnicki 1923 0–3 FK Crvena Zvezda.
Going into the match, Radnicki 1923 had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 9. FK Crvena Zvezda had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Radnicki 1923's last 10 and 3 of FK Crvena Zvezda's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Radnicki 1923 averaged 2.36 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home FK Crvena Zvezda averaged 1.46 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Radnicki 1923 and 1.53 from FK Crvena Zvezda. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 44%, against 14%, 21% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Radnicki 1923 (green) and FK Crvena Zvezda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radnicki 1923 | WWDDW | 1.80 | 0.90 | 30% | 50% |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | WWWDW | 1.80 | 0.80 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.