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NWSL Women · USA
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Racing Louisville W host Utah Royals W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Racing Louisville W 1–1 Utah Royals W.
Going into the match, Racing Louisville W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Utah Royals W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Racing Louisville W's last 10 and 7 of Utah Royals W's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Racing Louisville W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Utah Royals W averaged 1.80 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Racing Louisville W and 1.68 from Utah Royals W. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 46%, against 30%, 24% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Louisville W | LLLLL | 1.60 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
| Utah Royals W | WLWLW | 1.70 | 1.70 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 May 2026 · Utah Royals W 2–1 Racing Louisville W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.