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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Racing Ferrol vs Pontevedra prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Racing Ferrol host Pontevedra in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Racing Ferrol 2–0 Pontevedra.
Going into the match, Racing Ferrol had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Pontevedra had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Racing Ferrol's last 10 and 8 of Pontevedra's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Racing Ferrol averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Pontevedra averaged 1.44 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Racing Ferrol and 0.90 from Pontevedra. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 48%, 28% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Racing Ferrol (green) and Pontevedra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Ferrol | LWWLD | 1.10 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
| Pontevedra | DDLWW | 1.90 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Racing Ferrol 0–0 Pontevedra
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Racing Ferrol Win | 48% | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.