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Primera Premier · Mexico
Racing de Veracruz vs Celaya prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Racing de Veracruz host Celaya in the Primera Premier (Mexico) on 10 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.64, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Racing de Veracruz 2–1 Celaya.
Going into the match, Racing de Veracruz had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 8 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 8. Celaya had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Racing de Veracruz's last 8 and 6 of Celaya's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Racing de Veracruz averaged 3.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Celaya averaged 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Racing de Veracruz and 1.11 from Celaya. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 22%, against 47%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Racing de Veracruz (green) and Celaya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing de Veracruz | DDWWW | 2.63 | 1.00 | 50% | 63% |
| Celaya | LDWDW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Racing de Veracruz Win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Racing de Veracruz HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.