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3. SNL - East · Slovenia
Rače vs Ljutomer prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Rače host Ljutomer in the 3. SNL - East (Slovenia) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Rače to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Rače had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Ljutomer had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Rače's last 10 and 8 of Ljutomer's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Rače averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Ljutomer averaged 1.57 scored and 2.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Rače and 1.14 from Ljutomer. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 35%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Rače (green) and Ljutomer (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.27 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.47 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Rače Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.