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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Quorn vs Workington prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Quorn host Workington in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Quorn 3–0 Workington.
Going into the match, Quorn had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 23. Workington had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Quorn's last 10 and 8 of Workington's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Quorn averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Workington averaged 1.60 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Quorn and 2.02 from Workington. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 40%, against 40%, 23% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Quorn (green) and Workington (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | DWWLL | 2.20 | 2.30 | 80% | 80% |
| Workington | DDWWL | 2.60 | 1.60 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.37 |
| Double Chance 1X | 62% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.74 |
| Quorn Win | 37% | 2.25 |
| 1-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.