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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Quorn vs Ashton United prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Quorn host Ashton United in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Quorn 2–2 Ashton United.
Going into the match, Quorn had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 22. Ashton United had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Quorn's last 10 and 5 of Ashton United's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Quorn averaged 1.64 goals scored and 2.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ashton United averaged 1.60 scored and 1.50 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Quorn and 1.61 from Ashton United. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 37%, against 40%, 26% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Quorn (green) and Ashton United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quorn | WWLLW | 2.00 | 2.20 | 70% | 70% |
| Ashton United | DLLWL | 1.20 | 1.30 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Quorn Win | 40% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.