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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Quilmes vs Agropecuario prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Quilmes host Agropecuario in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Quilmes 0–1 Agropecuario.
Going into the match, Quilmes had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Agropecuario had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Quilmes's last 10 and 2 of Agropecuario's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Quilmes averaged 1.08 goals scored and 0.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Agropecuario averaged 0.62 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Quilmes and 0.60 from Agropecuario. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 21%, against 52%, 29% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Quilmes (green) and Agropecuario (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quilmes | DWLWL | 0.90 | 0.70 | 10% | 20% |
| Agropecuario | DLWLW | 0.90 | 0.90 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Agropecuario 0–0 Quilmes
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Quilmes Win | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.