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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Quepos Cambute vs AD Sarchí prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Quepos Cambute host AD Sarchí in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Quepos Cambute Win — Quepos Cambute to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Quepos Cambute 2–1 AD Sarchí.
Going into the match, Quepos Cambute had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 10. AD Sarchí had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 9 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Quepos Cambute's last 10 and 6 of AD Sarchí's last 9; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Quepos Cambute averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home AD Sarchí averaged 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Quepos Cambute and 0.79 from AD Sarchí. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 20%, against 60%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Quepos Cambute (green) and AD Sarchí (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quepos Cambute | LWWLW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 30% | 40% |
| AD Sarchí | LWLWL | 1.00 | 1.33 | 67% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 Aug 2026 · AD Sarchí 1–1 Quepos Cambute
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Quepos Cambute Win | 59% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Quepos Cambute HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.