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League One · Scotland
Queen of the South vs Cove Rangers prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Queen of the South host Cove Rangers in the League One (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Queen of the South 4–3 Cove Rangers.
Going into the match, Queen of the South had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 22. Cove Rangers had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Queen of the South's last 10 and 4 of Cove Rangers's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Queen of the South averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Cove Rangers averaged 1.00 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Queen of the South and 1.71 from Cove Rangers. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 40%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Queen of the South (green) and Cove Rangers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen of the South | WDLLD | 1.20 | 2.20 | 70% | 50% |
| Cove Rangers | WWLLW | 2.00 | 1.10 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Queen of the South 2–0 Cove Rangers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.