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Super League · Uzbekistan
Qizilqum vs Surkhon prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Qizilqum host Surkhon in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Qizilqum to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Qizilqum 0–0 Surkhon.
Going into the match, Qizilqum had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. Surkhon had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Qizilqum's last 10 and 2 of Surkhon's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Qizilqum averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Surkhon averaged 0.89 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Qizilqum and 0.54 from Surkhon. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 20%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Qizilqum (green) and Surkhon (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Apr 2026 · Surkhon 0–1 Qizilqum
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.20 |
| Qizilqum Win | 40% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| 1-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.